The Poor Man’s Analyst

Archive for the ‘From the Archives’ Category

From the Archives: Evolving the Save Rule

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This week is, and will continue to be, incredibly busy for me. It’s the middle of rush week, which means I’m out all day and night shmoozing with frat brothers, judging my interest in their house and trying to make them interested in me. So it’s pretty much a bunch of guys man-flirting with each other. But I digress…

This edition of From the Archives is a post from David Pinto of Baseball Prospectus about changing the save rule in baseball. The rule has changed a few times throughout history, and as a result has more than a few quirks. There are people out there, myself included, that wonder why the guy coming in in the 7th inning with the bases loaded and up by one doesn’t get the save, while the guy coming in in the 9th with no one on and his team up by 3 runs does. I know the guy in the 9th got the save, but which one really “saved” the game? It’s an interesting read, even if his proposal would never happen in reality. See the link above.

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Written by dcn29

January 14, 2009 at 9:46 PM

Posted in Bullpens, From the Archives

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From the Archives: Outside Pitch

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A little Sunday reading for you…

Mike Marshall is probably the most polarizing figure in the (small) world of pitching mechanics. His ideas are so drastically different from the norm that it is difficult for people to take him seriously. Also, a lack of results in pro baseball have given his doubters more ammunition.

Marshall claims that his style of pitching a baseball will end arm injuries, and allow pitchers to throw more efficiently than they do now. While the second claim has been refuted by many, and I don’t agree with Marshall on that point either, the claim that pitcher health is all but certain is pretty much accepted. But are people willing to give up performance in exchange for health? There are ways of incorporating some of Marshall’s teachings into the current pitching motion that could greatly increase the chances of staying healthy. Guys like Roger Clemens and Dan Haren, whether knowingly or not, display certain aspects of the Marshall pitching motion. You can find the Jeff Passan article on Yahoo right here.

If you would like to learn more about the Marshall pitching motion specifically, you can visit his site here (be warned, it’s a HUGE amount of reading), or read a primer by Chris O’Leary here.

For those of you who missed it the first time, the Jeff Passan Yahoo article is below.

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=Aoed4ocYk2a3.8zz7CqRSdwRvLYF?slug=jp-marshall051007&prov=yhoo&type=lgns

Written by dcn29

January 4, 2009 at 2:02 PM

Posted in From the Archives

From the Archives: Pictures and Steroids

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It’s been well-documented that home run rates shot up in the mid-1990s. It’s also been well-documented that some of baseball’s best sluggers didn’t achieve their respective feats the same way our heroes of the past did. It is suspected that a relatively large portion of professional baseball players were using steroids in this time period, which is the oft-cited reason for the increase in home run rates. While this explanation is logical and seems to pass the smell test, we cannot prove it.

In this article at Sabernomics, the economist J.C. Bradbury weighs in on steroids and home run rates with some very interesting graphs. If you’re going to read the article, make sure you don’t just glance at the graphs and skim through it–there’s some important information in the text that’s worth reading. Let’s see if you can find the trick. In case you missed it the first time, here’s the link again:

http://www.sabernomics.com/sabernomics/index.php/2006/05/pictures-of-deception/

Written by dcn29

January 1, 2009 at 12:00 PM

Posted in From the Archives

From the Archives: THT ~ Same old, same old

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Ask any Joe Morgan fan, and they’ll tell you that consistency is the most important attribute a baseball player can have. When you have a consistent player, you know what they’re going to give you day in and day out, season after season. These players are lauded in the media, and praised by coaches and players. I find it strange that one of the most consistent players in the Major Leagues, Adam Dunn, has been bashed for his lack of commitment. It’s as if they’re saying if he cared, he’s hit 45 home runs every year instead of the 40 he’s hit in each of the last four years (take a minute to look at his stat line, especially the OBP numbers). But that’s besides the point.

In this Hardball Times article, David Gassko questions the assumption that consistent players are better than inconsistent ones. In other words, given the same two stat lines by two different players, which player would you rather have–the consistent one, or the inconsistent one? In other words, how important is consistency? Here’s a bullet-point summary, if you’re not already interested:

  • Is consistency a repeatable skill?
  • Does it matter one way or another?
  • Quality Starts says very little about the quality of a pitcher.
  • If one is better, then how much better is it?

You’ll have to read the actual article to find the answers to these questions and the methods behind them. The article can be found by clicking this link. Enjoy.

Written by dcn29

December 20, 2008 at 1:45 PM

Posted in From the Archives

Feature: From the Archives

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Last night, when I was thinking about different topics and such, I had an idea for a regular feature that could be posted once a week. Saved on my computer, I have this pretty massive archive of old baseball articles–some sabermetric, some not. Each one is saved for its own purpose. Some of them are groundbreaking sabermetric work, some of them are just extremely interesting to me, and others I may just feel were important enough to hold on to.

Baseball reading is always slow on the weekends, so I figured I’d do this either every Saturday or Sunday (or both, if the demand is there) to share what I’ve read and enjoyed. Each piece will have accompanying commentary from me, and maybe a quick summary so you can decide for yourself if it’s worth reading or not.

Also, I’ll be gone from December 23rd to the 28th (I think those are the dates) and will not have a computer. So I’ll have a few of these ready to go and pre-set to go live at some point on each one of those days.

Written by dcn29

December 16, 2008 at 3:06 PM

Posted in From the Archives