The Poor Man’s Analyst

Joe Posnanski is the man

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That’s pretty much the thought that goes through my mind every time I read another one of his blog posts. I’m sorry for the lack of updates recently, I’ve been incredibly busy with rush week and the fraternity stuff, and now classes just started back up again. I have StatSpeak stuff to work on that I haven’t had time to tend to either, so I’m not only neglecting the Yankee fans out there.

But I’d like to pass along this Joe Posnanski blog post, as I feel it is relevant to being a rational fan. No team, not matter the resources, can operate to perfection. There will always be mistakes, whether they are made at the time or turn out to be mistakes down the road. If a team had just one perfect year ever, they’d be set for a long, long time. In this post, Posnanski shows what just one perfect draft would look like. Suffice to say, the team would be pretty stacked.

One draft. Of course, no team gets all the draft picks right. No team gets half the draft picks right, or one-third, or one-quarter or even one out of every twenty right. But it’s possible. If the Royals had just been right three times in 1999 — if they had only drafted, say, Lackey, Peavy and Pujols — what would their history have been like? And this is why, at the end of the day, teams like the Royals and Pirates and Reds and Twins and Marlins and Rays and all the rest have every chance to succeed in this crazy game. If you are right on the draft, really right, you can beat every team out there no matter how many billion they might spend.


Written by dcn29

January 20, 2009 at 2:57 PM

Posted in general baseball

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